Sea Level Rise Impacts Transportation Infrastructure

Expenditures of public funds for transportation infrastructure should consider the risk of local sea level rise.

Transportation infrastructure in U.S. coastal areas is increasingly vulnerable to local sea level rise. Given the high population density near the coasts, the potential exposure of transportation infrastructure to flooding is immense.

Northern Gulf of Mexico
Along the Northern Gulf Coast, an estimated 2,400 miles of major roadway and 246 miles of freight rail lines are at risk of permanent flooding within 50 to 100 years as relative sea level is expected to rise in the range of 4 feet (Figure 1). The Gulf Coast is particularly at risk to service disruptions due to a transportation network that is interdependent and relies on minor roads and other low-lying infrastructure. The Gulf Coast is home to seven of the ten largest commercial ports (by tons of traffic) in the country. The region also hosts a significant portion of the U.S. oil and gas industry, with its offshore drilling platforms, refineries, and pipelines. Roughly two-thirds of all U.S. oil imports pass through the Gulf. Sea level rise would potentially affect commercial transportation activity valued in the hundreds of billions of dollars annually through inundation of area roads, railroads, airports, seaports, and pipelines (U.S. Global Change Research Program, 2009). Figure 1 shows the Gulf Coast area roads at risk from sea-level rise.

California
Under current conditions, 1,900 miles of California's roadways are vulnerable to a 100-year flood event. This risk is projected to almost double to 3,500 miles if sea level rises 1.4 meters. Approximately one half of these roads are found in and around San Francisco Bay. (Pacific Institute, 2009). Figure 2 shows California roadways that are vulnerable to a 100-year coastal flood with 1.4 meter sea level rise.

Map displaying roads below four feet in elevation are at significant risk to long-term sea level rise      Top Ten Costliest Hurricanes         
Figure 1: View Larger Image
                                                                         Figure 2: View Larger Image          
Flooded Streets

Flooded streets in New Orleans, Louisiana. Credit: NOAA CSC

For further information:

United States Global Change Research Program: Report home

The Impacts of Sea Level Rise on the California Coast.

Closer Look

Relevant Links

U.S. Geological Survey National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise
http://woodshole.er.usgs.gov/project-pages/cvi/

NOAA Tides and Currents - Sea Level Online
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.shtml

NOAA Climate Services
http://www.climate.gov/

U.S. Global Change Research Program
http://www.globalchange.gov/